CBS Sportsline’s Dave Richard and Jamey Einsberg have an interesting debate today, each seeking to answer the question of which rookie running back should be rated highest in your fantasy football projections.
I didn’t realize (I guess I never stopped to think of it) that there has only been one rookie rusher in 6 seasons to post a 1,000 yard season. While my league does score for yards, the bulk of fantasy points come from touchdowns. This stat was interesting nonetheless.
Richard also makes another important point that applies across the board and not only to the question being posed. Be careful about paying attention to preseason statistics. While Adrian Peterson and Brandon Jackson have done well this preseason, things aren’t always what they seem. Marshawn Lynch has only had 7 carries. Why? The Bills are resting him because he is going to be the man, and the others are having a tryout for the second part of the dreaded fantasy “2-headed monster”.
I think Marshawn Lynch is worthy of at least a 3rd or 4th round draft pick, when the running back pool is dwinlding and you still need a workhorse. Lynch is going to post big numbers, and I hope he’s on my team come draft day.
Einsberg’s argument in favor of Brandon Jackson is compelling, too. Jackson is stepping in for the injured Morency for Green Bay, who could miss the beginning of the season. And Green Bay’s offense is a better offense.
The difference maker for me, though, is that we’re drafting for a season, and I believe Lynch will have a better overall season? Who will be getting more carries in weeks 11, 12 and 13 when you’re vying for a playoff spot? Or when the money’s on the line and a trip to the Fantasy Bowl is at stake? My money’s on Lynch.
